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Mathias Bourgue vs Egor Gerasimov Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Bourgue vs Gerasimov analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Mathias Bourgue vs Egor Gerasimov Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Bourgue 1 - 2 Gerasimov

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Bourgue has won 50.16% of points on his second serve, while Gerasimov has won 50.78%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Bourgue, in recent form, has won 46.71% of his opponent's second serve points, while Gerasimov has won 47.45%. The same stats for first serve returns are 31.18% and 28.75% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Bourgue has saved 64.67% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Gerasimov has saved 59.9% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Bourgue has won 55.71% of matches played (W/L 39/ 31), with Gerasimov winning 58.33% (W/L 42/ 30) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Bourgue has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 60% (W/L 258/ 169), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 43% (W/L 3/ 4). Gerasimov has their best career surface win % on I.hard, winning 61% (W/L 160/ 102), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 21% (W/L 3/ 11).
  • Player level: In the last year, Bourgue has played most of their matches on the Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, winning 54.24% of matches (W/L 32/ 27), where as Gerasimov has played most of their matches on the Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, winning 62% of matches (W/L 31/ 19). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 3 times before with Bourgue winning 1 times. They have played 9 sets in total, with Bourgue winning 4 and Gerasimov winning 5. The last match between Bourgue and Gerasimov was at the Oeiras 1 Challenger, 03-01-2024, Second, I.hard with Egor Gerasimov getting the victory 6-4 2-6 6-4.
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:54:2.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Bourgue and Gerasimov have played a deciding set 3 times, with Bourgue winning 1 times and Gerasimov 2 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 1 tiebreaks against each other with Bourgue winning 0, and Gerasimov 1.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Bourgue has played against opponents with an average rank of 255.89 while Gerasimov has played against players with an average rank of 236.26.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Bourgue has won 63% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Gerasimov has won 55% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Bourgue has converted 38.1% of breakpoint opportunities, and Gerasimov has converted 40.8% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
bet365
Mathias Bourgue

13

Total

0

Mast

2

Chall

0

Slam

0

Main

11

Minor

289

Rank

140

High

30

Age

R

Plays

1

Total

2

0

Hard

1

0

Clay

0

1

Indoor

1

0

Grass

0

275

Rank

65

High

31

Age

R

Plays

Egor Gerasimov

9

Total

0

Mast

6

Chall

0

Slam

0

Main

3

Minor

1

Total

2

0

Hard

1

0

Clay

0

1

Indoor

1

0

Grass

0

W L L L L L W L W W

Form

W L W W W W L L W W

60% (452-307)

Career Total W/L

57% (415-307)

44% (11-14)

YTD W/L

58% (21-15)

$143,480

Career Prize Money

$1,070,380

0

YTD Titles

0

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Bourgue VS Gerasimov H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Mathias Bourgue Egor Gerasimov
All H2H Matches 1 2
Sets Won 4 5
Games Won 41 42
Aces (Total) 23 29
DFs (Total) 7 9
Avg Match Time 1:54:2 1:54:2
1st Serve % 62% (167/270) 70% (169/242)
1st Serve Win% 74% (124/167) 70% (118/169)
2nd Serve Win% 42% (43/103) 51% (37/73)
BPs Won% (Total) 56% (10/18) 48% (10/21)
Return Points W% 36% (87/242) 38% (103/270)
Best of 3 Sets W% 33% (1/3) 67% (2/3)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 0% (0/1) 100% (1/1)
Deciding Set Win% 33% (1/3) 67% (2/3)
1st set W, W 0% (0/0) 67% (3/2)
1st set W, L 0% (0/0) 33% (3/1)
1st set L, W 33% (3/1) 0% (0/0)

Bourgue VS Gerasimov H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
6-4 2-6 6-4
cross
Egor Gerasimov
Player
Mathias Bourgue
73% ( 59 of 81)
1st Serve %
61% ( 53 of 87)
6
Aces
9
4
Double Faults
5
68% ( 40 of 59)
1st Serve Won
81% ( 43 of 53)
59% ( 13 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 18 of 34)
40% ( 2 of 5)
Break Points Won
40% ( 2 of 5)
35% ( 28 of 81)
Rtn Points Won
30% ( 26 of 87)
79
Total Points Won
89
2-6 6-2 6-4
cross
Mathias Bourgue
Player
Egor Gerasimov
62% ( 53 of 85)
1st Serve %
72% ( 61 of 85)
7
Aces
11
1
Double Faults
3
70% ( 37 of 53)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 41 of 61)
34% ( 11 of 32)
2nd Serve Won
29% ( 7 of 24)
63% ( 5 of 8)
Break Points Won
50% ( 4 of 8)
44% ( 37 of 85)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 37 of 85)
85
Total Points Won
85
7-6(5) 3-6 6-1
cross
Egor Gerasimov
Player
Mathias Bourgue
64% ( 49 of 76)
1st Serve %
62% ( 61 of 98)
12
Aces
7
2
Double Faults
1
76% ( 37 of 49)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 44 of 61)
63% ( 17 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 14 of 37)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
60% ( 3 of 5)
29% ( 22 of 76)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 40 of 98)
94
Total Points Won
80

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Mathias Bourgue Egor Gerasimov
YTD W/L 44% (11/14) 58% (21/15)
Sets Win/Loss 47% (28/32) 55% (48/40)
Games Win/Loss 50% (285/281) 51% (424/415)
Hard Win/Loss 0% (0/1) 59% (10/7)
Clay Win/Loss 43% (6/8) 0% (0/0)
Indoor Hard W/L 50% (5/5) 58% (11/8)
Grass Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Aces pg 0.45 0.63
Aces Total 125 257
DFs per game 0.21 0.21
DFs Total 58 86
Avg Match Time 1:42:40 1:40:45
Avg Opp Rank 215.48 211.67
1st Serve % 64% (1136/1780) 65% (1684/2582)
1st Serve W% 69% (786/1136) 72% (1213/1684)
2nd Serve W% 50% (323/644) 51% (456/898)
BPs Won% Total 38% (56/147) 41% (82/201)
Return Pts W% 37% (624/1691) 36% (951/2618)
Slam W/L 100% (2/0) 0% (0/0)
Masters W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 0% (0/1) 0% (0/0)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 43% (9/12) 60% (21/14)
Futures W/L 0% (0/1) 0% (0/1)
Best of 3 Sets W% 48% (11/23) 58% (21/36)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 57% (4/7) 58% (7/12)
Deciding Set W% 50% (6/12) 63% (10/16)
1st set W, W 86% (7/6) 81% (16/13)
1st set W, L 0% (7/0) 19% (16/3)
1st set L, W 28% (18/5) 40% (20/8)

Mathias Bourgue Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
Q2
cross
Mathias Bourgue
Player
Radu Albot
68% ( 66 of 97)
1st Serve %
63% ( 67 of 106)
8
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
6
62% ( 41 of 66)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 40 of 67)
42% ( 13 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
56% ( 22 of 39)
18% ( 3 of 17)
Break Points Won
31% ( 4 of 13)
44% ( 43 of 97)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 44 of 106)
98
Total Points Won
105
W
1-6 6-4 6-4 H2H
Q1
cross
Mathias Bourgue
Player
Mae Malige
67% ( 66 of 98)
1st Serve %
56% ( 43 of 77)
3
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
2
71% ( 47 of 66)
1st Serve Won
53% ( 23 of 43)
50% ( 16 of 32)
2nd Serve Won
68% ( 23 of 34)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
10% ( 1 of 10)
36% ( 35 of 98)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 31 of 77)
94
Total Points Won
81
W
4-6 6-2 6-2 H2H
QF
cross
Quentin Halys
Player
Mathias Bourgue
62% ( 38 of 61)
1st Serve %
63% ( 40 of 64)
10
Aces
4
3
Double Faults
3
79% ( 30 of 38)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 27 of 40)
57% ( 13 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
54% ( 13 of 24)
40% ( 2 of 5)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
30% ( 18 of 61)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 24 of 64)
67
Total Points Won
58
L
6-4 6-4 H2H
Q1
cross
Mathias Bourgue
Player
Duje Ajdukovic
63% ( 48 of 76)
1st Serve %
65% ( 31 of 48)
6
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
0
71% ( 34 of 48)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 21 of 31)
46% ( 13 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 8 of 17)
75% ( 3 of 4)
Break Points Won
11% ( 1 of 9)
38% ( 29 of 76)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 19 of 48)
66
Total Points Won
58
W
6-3 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Felix Gill
Player
Mathias Bourgue
64% ( 45 of 70)
1st Serve %
50% ( 36 of 72)
5
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
4
62% ( 28 of 45)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 26 of 36)
60% ( 15 of 25)
2nd Serve Won
33% ( 12 of 36)
36% ( 5 of 14)
Break Points Won
23% ( 3 of 13)
39% ( 27 of 70)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 34 of 72)
77
Total Points Won
65
L
6-4 7-5 H2H
Q1
cross
Mikhail Kukushkin
Player
Mathias Bourgue
79% ( 52 of 66)
1st Serve %
55% ( 38 of 69)
1
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
3
71% ( 37 of 52)
1st Serve Won
74% ( 28 of 38)
71% ( 10 of 14)
2nd Serve Won
32% ( 10 of 31)
33% ( 3 of 9)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 4)
29% ( 19 of 66)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 31 of 69)
78
Total Points Won
57
L
7-5 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Antonio Caruso
Player
Mathias Bourgue
46% ( 19 of 41)
1st Serve %
44% ( 16 of 36)
2
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
1
63% ( 12 of 19)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 9 of 16)
45% ( 10 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
60% ( 12 of 20)
40% ( 2 of 5)
Break Points Won
40% ( 2 of 5)
46% ( 19 of 41)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 15 of 36)
37
Total Points Won
40
L
4-6 2-0 ret. H2H
Q1
cross
Fabio Fognini
Player
Mathias Bourgue
69% ( 59 of 85)
1st Serve %
64% ( 55 of 86)
2
Aces
0
5
Double Faults
0
73% ( 43 of 59)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 33 of 55)
54% ( 14 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
68% ( 21 of 31)
60% ( 3 of 5)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
33% ( 28 of 85)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 32 of 86)
89
Total Points Won
82
L
6-3 3-6 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Corentin Moutet
Player
Mathias Bourgue
70% ( 52 of 74)
1st Serve %
66% ( 37 of 56)
0
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
5
60% ( 31 of 52)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 26 of 37)
68% ( 15 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
32% ( 6 of 19)
100% ( 3 of 3)
Break Points Won
11% ( 1 of 9)
38% ( 28 of 74)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 24 of 56)
70
Total Points Won
60
L
6-4 6-4 H2H
QF
cross
Mathias Bourgue
Player
Jiri Vesely
67% ( 69 of 103)
1st Serve %
60% ( 54 of 90)
6
Aces
6
3
Double Faults
5
62% ( 43 of 69)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 39 of 54)
65% ( 22 of 34)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 15 of 36)
36% ( 4 of 11)
Break Points Won
38% ( 3 of 8)
37% ( 38 of 103)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 36 of 90)
101
Total Points Won
92
W
6-4 4-6 6-4 H2H

Egor Gerasimov Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R2
cross
Egor Gerasimov
Player
Matias Soto
70% ( 38 of 54)
1st Serve %
49% ( 32 of 65)
13
Aces
5
0
Double Faults
0
87% ( 33 of 38)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 23 of 32)
44% ( 7 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 16 of 33)
33% ( 3 of 9)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
26% ( 14 of 54)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 26 of 65)
66
Total Points Won
53
W
6-4 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Egor Gerasimov
Player
Menelaos Efstathiou
68% ( 44 of 65)
1st Serve %
65% ( 37 of 57)
3
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
1
61% ( 27 of 44)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 22 of 37)
67% ( 14 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 9 of 20)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
37% ( 24 of 65)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 26 of 57)
67
Total Points Won
55
W
6-4 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Hamish Stewart
Player
Egor Gerasimov
62% ( 44 of 71)
1st Serve %
68% ( 47 of 69)
11
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
1
73% ( 32 of 44)
1st Serve Won
55% ( 26 of 47)
63% ( 17 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 10 of 22)
83% ( 5 of 6)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
31% ( 22 of 71)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 33 of 69)
82
Total Points Won
58
L
6-2 4-6 6-0 H2H
F
cross
Bu Yunchaokete
Player
Egor Gerasimov
52% ( 26 of 50)
1st Serve %
57% ( 38 of 67)
5
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
1
81% ( 21 of 26)
1st Serve Won
55% ( 21 of 38)
58% ( 14 of 24)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 14 of 29)
33% ( 4 of 12)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
30% ( 15 of 50)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 32 of 67)
67
Total Points Won
50
L
6-4 6-1 H2H
SF
cross
Egor Gerasimov
Player
Alibek Kachmazov
60% ( 49 of 81)
1st Serve %
60% ( 44 of 73)
6
Aces
7
3
Double Faults
1
78% ( 38 of 49)
1st Serve Won
77% ( 34 of 44)
44% ( 14 of 32)
2nd Serve Won
55% ( 16 of 29)
100% ( 2 of 2)
Break Points Won
29% ( 2 of 7)
36% ( 29 of 81)
Rtn Points Won
32% ( 23 of 73)
75
Total Points Won
79
W
1-6 6-3 6-4 H2H
QF
cross
Egor Gerasimov
Player
Jie Cui
62% ( 67 of 108)
1st Serve %
62% ( 56 of 90)
11
Aces
3
6
Double Faults
4
78% ( 52 of 67)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 37 of 56)
44% ( 18 of 41)
2nd Serve Won
68% ( 23 of 34)
67% ( 2 of 3)
Break Points Won
29% ( 2 of 7)
35% ( 38 of 108)
Rtn Points Won
33% ( 30 of 90)
100
Total Points Won
98
W
3-6 6-4 7-5 H2H
R2
cross
Egor Gerasimov
Player
Max Purcell
60% ( 28 of 47)
1st Serve %
58% ( 49 of 85)
9
Aces
4
2
Double Faults
2
89% ( 25 of 28)
1st Serve Won
57% ( 28 of 49)
63% ( 12 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 18 of 36)
23% ( 3 of 13)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
21% ( 10 of 47)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 39 of 85)
76
Total Points Won
56
W
6-4 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Egor Gerasimov
Player
Hiroki Moriya
56% ( 36 of 64)
1st Serve %
55% ( 35 of 64)
7
Aces
1
8
Double Faults
3
78% ( 28 of 36)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 22 of 35)
32% ( 9 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
34% ( 10 of 29)
60% ( 6 of 10)
Break Points Won
50% ( 3 of 6)
42% ( 27 of 64)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 32 of 64)
69
Total Points Won
59
W
6-3 7-5 H2H
R1
cross
Beibit Zhukayev
Player
Egor Gerasimov
66% ( 41 of 62)
1st Serve %
51% ( 25 of 49)
12
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
5
73% ( 30 of 41)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 18 of 25)
57% ( 12 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 9 of 24)
60% ( 3 of 5)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
32% ( 20 of 62)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 22 of 49)
64
Total Points Won
47
L
6-1 6-4 H2H
QF
cross
Egor Gerasimov
Player
Philip Sekulic
64% ( 51 of 80)
1st Serve %
53% ( 50 of 95)
14
Aces
9
5
Double Faults
8
78% ( 40 of 51)
1st Serve Won
74% ( 37 of 50)
45% ( 13 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 24 of 45)
50% ( 2 of 4)
Break Points Won
50% ( 3 of 6)
34% ( 27 of 80)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 34 of 95)
87
Total Points Won
88
W
1-6 6-3 7-6(4) H2H

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